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An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the southern Plains this afternoon and evening, accompanied by severe wind gusts, large hail, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes. Scattered severe thunderstorms are also possible this morning into the afternoon over parts of the central/northern Florida Peninsula, as well as the Carolinas.
 For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.
Hazard Wed (05/15) Thu (05/16) Fri (05/17) Sat (05/18) Sun (05/19) Mon (05/20) Tue (05/21) Wed (05/22)
Severe Enhanced Slight Slight No Area No Area No Area No Area No Area
Fire Elevated Elevated No Area No Area No Area No Area No Area No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 15 May

Tornado Probabilities: 15 May

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 15 May

Severe Hail Probabilities: 15 May

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 15 May

Significant Wind Probabilities: 15 May

Significant Hail Probabilities: 15 May


More severe weather climatology data here.
2024 Tornado Watch Summary
Page last modified: May 15 2024 12:28 UTC
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2024 Severe Tstm Watch Summary
Page last modified: May 15 2024 12:28 UTC
Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 15 May

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 15 May

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 15 May

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 15 May


More wildfire climatology data here.
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May 13, 2024 Tornado: 6 Wind: 140 Hail: 34
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